How Much Is The Growth In Paychex’s Payroll Revenues Correlated To The Number Of Clients?

+2.07%
Upside
120
Market
122
Trefis
PAYX: Paychex logo
PAYX
Paychex

As you can see in the table below, a 1.2% annual increase in the number of clients served in the last five years led to a 3.8% increase in Paychex’s Payroll Processing revenues. The unemployment rate fell from about 10% in 2010 to under 6% through 2015. Paychex’s pricing (revenue generated per client) was up by about 2.5% in the same duration.

PAYX_Payroll1We forecast the revenue generated per client to grow at a faster pace than the historical rate (at a CAGR of 3.5% from 2016 through 2021) as economic conditions improve. Consequently, growth in payroll revenues could be as high as 5% in the next five years.

PAYX_Payroll2

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Notes:

1) The purpose of these analyses is to help readers focus on a few important things. We hope such lean communication sparks thinking, and encourages readers to comment and ask questions on the comment section, or email content@trefis.com
2) Figures mentioned are approximate values to help our readers remember the key concepts more intuitively. For precise figures, please refer to our complete analysis for Paychex
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