Growth In Volumes And Transactions Lift MasterCard’s Income

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MasterCard (NYSE:MA) announced its third quarter earnings on Thursday, October 30. The company reported net income of $1 billion, a 15% year-over-year increase. Net revenues also increased by 13% year-over-year to $2.5 billion due to a combined effect of an increase in transactions processed, cross border volume and gross dollar volume. [1] Acquisitions also helped the growth in revenue by about three percentage points in the third quarter. An increase in incentives and rebates had a marginal negative impact on the earnings.

Certain tax benefits resulted in a lower effective tax rate of 28.5% during the quarter, compared to 29.9% in the previous year. The company reported earnings per diluted share of $0.87, up 19% year-over-year.

We have a price estimate of $86 for MasterCard’s stock, which is in line with the current market price.

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Growth In Volumes And Transactions

MasterCard’s Gross Dollar Volume (GDV) for credit and debit cards combined grew by 12% year-over-year for global operations. Growth in the U.S. slowed down to 7% year-over-year compared to 9% in the second quarter. Outside of the U.S., GDV grew by 14% year-over-year to $818 billion. [2]

Domestic assessment fees, which are charged by MasterCard based on the total GDV, increased by 8% on a reported basis to over $1 billion.

Processed transactions also registered double-digit growth to around 11 billion compared to around 10 billion a year ago. The number of cards also grew by 8% over the previous year to just over 2 billion. Revenue from transactions processed was up 13% on a reported basis to over $1 billion in the third quarter. Meanwhile, cross border fees increased by a handsome 13% year-over-year on both a reported as well as FX-adjusted basis.

Consequently, the company’s total net revenues (after adjusting for incentives and rebates) were up 13% year-over-year on a reported basis.

Performance In International Markets

For operations outside of the U.S., the company reported about a 12% year-over-year increase in GDV. During the third quarter, Asia-Pacific, Middle-East and Africa (APMEA) recorded 16% year-over-year growth, followed by a nearly 10% year-over-year increase in both Europe and Latin America. [3] Growth in APMEA slowed down compared to the previous quarter due to a decline in sentiment led by weaker economic activity in China. Going forward, we expect the Asian market to remain vital to the company’s overall growth prospects, as a moderate level of cashless transaction penetration in the region offers a vast opportunity.

In Latin America, the company witnessed a moderate improvement due to a decline in retail sales growth from 4.1% in the previous quarter to just 2.5% in Brazil. [4] Growth in Europe was marred by slow economic growth as well as a decline in consumer confidence. According to MasterCard’s SpendingPulse report, annual personal consumption expenditure (PCE) growth projections for the European region have been revised down to 3.1% from 3.5%. The growth reported in the third quarter was primarily driven by business in Russia, Turkey and Sweden.

Going forward, the company faces challenges in Europe, including the introduction of a new payments law in Russia. We will be closely following latest developments and the likely impact on the company’s performance.

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Notes:
  1. MasterCard Incorporated Reports Third-Quarter 2014 Financial Results, MasterCard Press Release []
  2. MasterCard Incorporated 3rd Quarter 2014 Financial Results Conference Call – Presentation, Investor Relations []
  3. MasterCard Incorporated 3rd Quarter 2014 Supplemental Operational Results, Investor Relations []
  4. Mastercard’s (MA) CEO Ajay Banga on Q3 2014 Results – Earnings Call Transcript, Seeking Alpha []