What Percentage of Juniper’s Stock Price Can Be Attributed To Growth?

-8.05%
Downside
36.16
Market
33.25
Trefis
JNPR: Juniper Networks logo
JNPR
Juniper Networks

Juniper’s stock has been rather stable over the past year, despite the uncertainty in telecom carriers’ spending. Hence, we think it’s worthwhile to figure out what portion of the company’s stock can be attributed to growth.

We know that a stock’s valuation can be highly influenced by future expectations of earnings growth. However, in theory, if a company sees no growth opportunities it should distribute all its earnings as dividends to its shareholders. The only capital expenditure required in such a case will be equal to the amount required to replace or maintain existing assets.

Mathematically, (capital expenditure + change in net working capital + change in net operating assets) = (depreciation and amortization).

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We assume that this amount of capital expenditure will be sufficient for the company to retain its market share and keep margins constant. In this case, if the company pays all earnings as dividends for the rest of the period, we can calculate Present Value of Growth Opportunity (PVGO) of a stock from the formula given below:

PVGO = Current Stock Price – (Forecasted Earnings for the next period / Cost of Equity)

second version of juniper

Juniper stock growth part two

Have more questions about Juniper? See the links below:

Notes:

1) The purpose of these analyses is to help readers focus on a few important things. We hope such lean communication sparks thinking, and encourages readers to comment and ask questions on the comment section, or email content@trefis.com
2) Figures mentioned are approximate values to help our readers remember the key concepts more intuitively. For precise figures, please refer to our complete analysis for Juniper
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