Here’s Why We’re Revising Our Price Estimate For Freeport-McMoRan To $12

-18.42%
Downside
50.02
Market
40.81
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FCX
Freeport

We are raising our price estimate for Freeport-McMoRan by 43%, which is primarily driven by an improvement in our pricing and margin forecasts for the oil and gas division. An improvement in the pricing outlook for crude oil due to a more favorable global demand-supply equation, resulting from an expected reduction in U.S. oil and gas output over the course of the year, as well as supply outages in Canada and Nigeria, have prompted us to revise our forecast for realized prices for Freeport’s oil and gas division. An improvement in the pricing outlook as well as production from low-cost sources has prompted us to raise our margin forecasts for the division, as well. In addition, we have revised our margin forecasts for the South American and Indonesian copper mining divisions due to an upward revision in production forecast and the mining of higher grade ore, respectively. In addition, an improvement in the outlook for gold prices and a revision to the production forecast has prompted us to revise our margin forecasts for the gold mining division, as well.

FCX Price Revision To $12

Have more questions about Freeport-McMoRan? See the links below.

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Notes:

1) The purpose of these analyses is to help readers focus on a few important things. We hope such lean communication sparks thinking, and encourages readers to comment and ask questions on the comment section, or email content@trefis.com
2) Figures mentioned are approximate values to help our readers remember the key concepts more intuitively. For precise figures, please refer to our complete analysis for Freeport-McMoRan

 

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