Key Takeaways From BMY Q2 Earnings

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BMY
Bristol Myers Squibb

Key Takeaways From Q2 Earnings

  • 17% increase in revenue, 30% growth in Non-GAAP EPS
  • Opdivo’s sales jumped more than 100% but Yervoy decreased by 19% due to cannibalization
  • Opdivo could get potentially two new approvals in next three quarters
  • Eliquis’ sales increased more than 91%
  • Daklinza’s demand increased among genotype 3 patients in the U.S. and Europe, Hepatitis C franchise seems to reach maturity due to falling sales and stiff competition
  • We believe there is substantial growth potential in the company. Here are the reasons we think so.

Growth Drivers

1) Opdivo

  • Expected peak sales of $6-7 billion
  • Approved for metastatic melanoma, non-small cell lung cancer and advanced renal cell carcinoma
  • Possible additional approval for head and neck cancer by the end of 2016
  • Approved in 54 markets worldwide, potential for approval in other markets
  • Further potential combination with other drugs – Rova-T + Opdivo, Opdivo + Yervoy

2) Eliquis

  • Expected peak sales of $3-4 billion
  • Blood thinning drug is safer than standard warfarin
  • Partnership with Pfizer results in strong global reach

3) Empliciti

  • Potential peak sales of $3-4 billion
  • Approved for multiple myeloma

Potential Risk 

Bristol-Myers Squibb has been investing heavily in research and development (R&D) to help boost its falling sales. The R&D expenditure of the company as a % of sales in 2015 was at an all-time high of 36%. The figure has risen from 18% in 2010 to 29% in 2014. During the same time period, the company’s sales have fallen by 18%. The company needs to justify such enormous spending with some good results. Drugs Prostvac (Phase 3 Development) and additional combinations for Opdivo can help the company to justify such spending. But if they underperform, investors could start questioning their R&D efficacy.

BMY-R&D Threat

Sources:

[1] Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY) Giovanni Caforio on Q2 2016 Results – Earnings Call Transcript, Seeking Alpha, July 28,2016

Relevant Articles
  1. Should You Pick Bristol Myers Squibb Stock After A 30% Fall Last Year And Q4 Beat?
  2. Is Bristol Myers Squibb Stock Undervalued At $50?
  3. Will Bristol Myers Squibb Stock Rebound To Its Pre-Inflation Shock Level of $80?
  4. Which Stock Is A Better Healthcare Pick – Bristol Myers Squibb Or HCA?
  5. Will Bristol Myers Squibb Stock Rise Post Q1?
  6. Is Bristol Myers Squibb Stock A Better Pick Over Its Industry Peer?

[2] Sec Filings

Have more questions about Bristol-Myers Squibb? See the links below.

Notes:

1) The purpose of these analyses is to help readers focus on a few important things. We hope such lean communication sparks thinking, and encourages readers to comment and ask questions on the comment section, or email content@trefis.com
2) Figures mentioned are approximate values to help our readers remember the key concepts more intuitively. For precise figures, please refer to our complete analysis for Bristol-Myers Squibb

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