A Stronger Economy Spurs Growth In ADP’s Payroll & HR Services

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ADP: Automatic Data Processing logo
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Automatic Data Processing

Automatic Data Processing (NYSE:ADP), the leading payroll processing and human resources benefits outsourcing company, reported its earnings for the third quarter ending March 31, 2013 on May 3. The revenue growth of 7% year-on-year was largely in line with our expectations as we indicated in our previous analysis. ADP operates in an industry whose growth is negatively correlated with the unemployment level. Unemployment in the United States has gone down from 7.9% in January 2013 to 7.6% in March, and has provided a steady tailwind to the firms operating in the payroll processing industry. [1]

ADP’s total revenues for the third quarter stood at $3.11 billion as against $2.91 billion during the same period last year. Net earnings also grew by 7% to $482.7 million for the three months ended March 31, 2013, as margins increased across business segments.

See our complete analysis of ADP here

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Payroll Processing Leads While HR Services And Dealer Services Support Top Line

ADP’s payroll processing revenues grew by 7% to $2.2 billion as the company acquired new clients and increased prices for its existing clients. The company improved its client retention rate by 40 bps year-on-year while the number of employees on the clients’ payroll also inched higher by 2.7%, contributing to the overall revenue growth. As per our estimates, payroll processing contributes about 80% to the overall ADP’s stock price estimate.

HR services revenues reported stellar growth, rising 10% to $565 million. This is a result of the 7% growth in the average number of worksite employees as a number of new clients were acquired and the requirements of existing clients increased.

Dealer services added $460 million to the top line, rising 8% year-on-year as the company added new clients, improved existing clients’ retention ratio and introduced new services. As we discussed earlier, ADP has launched a completely electronic end-to-end, dealer to lender financing process solution, which is a first of its kind in the industry. [2] The users of ADP’s digital marketing solutions, “Drive” and “PFW IntelliDealer” dealer management systems (DMS) solutions, as well as hosted IP telephony and data services have grown tremendously during the third quarter.

Rising Yields On Treasuries Drive Interest Income From Clients’ Funds

The company generated $112 million in interest from the funds held for clients during the third quarter. Although the interest on clients’ funds is lower by about 15% year-on-year, the trend is moving upwards as the average yield on 10-year treasuries have improved to 1.95% during this quarter, as opposed to 1.71% last quarter. [3] Average client funds balance has also improved by 7% to $23.2 billion, partially mitigating the decline in interest income. We estimate the interest income to rise steadily as the yields improve over the next few quarters.

We have updated our price estimate for ADP to $65 from $61 to incorporate the latest earnings release.

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Notes:
  1. Employment Situation News Release, April 2013 []
  2. ADP Delivers the Automotive Industry’s First Completely Electronic End-to-End, Dealer to Lender Financing Process Solution, February 9, 2013 []
  3. U.S. Department of Treasury []