Articles for Time Warner

Time Warner Updates: Weak DVD Sales Drag on Robust Outlook

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Wednesday, January 18th, 2012 by

Time Warner (NYSE:TWX) recently announced that it witnessed a weak Q4 of 2011 in terms of its home entertainment business which primarily consists of DVDs and Blu-Rays. The decline in DVD sales has been a primary culprit for a weak quarter and resulted from the consumer shift to Internet streaming as well as the growth of DVD and streaming rental companies such as Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) and Blockbuster, now owned by Dish Network (NASDAQ:DISH). As a result of the observed trends, Time Warner recently took some steps to address the situation.

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CNN’s Digital Acquisitions Don’t Move the Needle for Time Warner Stock

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Monday, December 26th, 2011 by

Time Warner’s (NYSE:TWX) CNN is looking to make some digital acquisition in order to expand its programming reach to connected devices such as tablets and smartphones. The consumer shift to the internet is creating both opportunities and challenges for content owners and service providers. CNN, which was once the first news channel to provide 24-hour news coverage, is now struggling for viewership against its rivals such as Fox News of News Corp. (NASDAQ:NWS) and MSNBC of Comcast (NASDAQ:CMCSA). The company is looking to capitalize on distribution opportunity on the web and internet devices, to increase the viewer count and thus boost revenues. However the overall impact of this strategy could be minimal for Time Warner’s stock.

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Time Warner Updates: Embraces Connected Devices, New Content Deals Support $39 Value

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Wednesday, November 30th, 2011 by

In last couple of weeks, the media company Time Warner (NYSE:TWX) has made some strides when it comes to leveraging new connected devices and bolstering content partnerships. Although the stock hasn’t done much justice to these moves. Similarly in early Nov. the company reported good quarterly results, but investors punished the stock perhaps because the results were influenced more by filmed entertainment rather than cable networks as the latter tends to be a more stable revenue stream. Below we take a brief look at recent developments. Time Warner competes with other media conglomerates like Disney (NYSE:DIS), Viacom (NYSE:VIA) and News Corp (NASDAQ:NWS).

Our price estimate for Time Warner stands at $38.84, implying a premium of about 15% to the market price.

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HBO Go App Can Boost TWC’s Revenues, Netflix to See More Competition

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Friday, November 18th, 2011 by

Time Warner (NYSE:TWX) has made HBO available via multiple platforms through its video streaming application, HBO Go, which was introduced earlier this year. HBO subscribers can now watch their popular shows and movies on Web as well as mobile devices and tablets like the iPhone and iPad, in addition to traditional medium of TV through cable providers like Comcast (NASDAQ:CMCSA) and satellite providers like Dish Network (NASDAQ:DISH). This is a good move by Time Warner to leverage the premium content and healthy subscriber base of HBO. This move also spells more competition for Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) which is grappling with subscriber churn and seeking more licensing deals with content producers.

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Time Warner Should Expand its Licensing Business Given Trove of Content

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Wednesday, September 14th, 2011 by

Time Warner (NYSE:TWX) competes with other media companies like Disney (NYSE:DIS), CBS (NYSE:CBS), News Corp (NASDAQ:NWS) and Viacom (NYSE:VIA). What differentiates the company is its focus on subscriptions, in large part due presence of HBO which is a premium subscription channel. While this provides the company some immunity in a potential recessionary environment, there is opportunity to further expand licensing which is currently a small portion of the stock. This will further make it immune to weak economy.

We estimate that TV licensing constitutes just about 6% to company’s stock and therefore there is scope of improvement. This could be improved by leveraging companies like Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX). Netflix not just wants more content, it now “needs” it in order to sustain its expansion. This will give media companies pricing power, including Time Warner. Additionally, Time Warner can be aided by expansion of other players like Blockbuster under Dish Network (NASDAQ:DISH) and Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) expanding.

Our price estimate for Time Warner stands at $38.90, implying a premium of about 30% to the market price.

See our complete analysis for Time Warner’s stock.

CNN Buys Zite in Hopes to get iPad Experience Right

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Friday, September 2nd, 2011 by

CNN is buying Zite – an iPad app that allows users to customize their news feed and create a personalized magazine experience. According to some reports, the deal could be valued between $20-25 million. CNN is owned by Time Warner (NYSE:TWX) and constitutes just under 7% to the company’s stock value according to our estimates. This amounts to a more than $2.5 billion value for CNN based on our $38.90 price estimate for Time Warner. While a $20 million acquisition for a $2.5+ billion business is no big deal for the company, it shows that Time Warner wants the right tools that will help deliver content to its customers and fend off other media companies like News Corp (NASDAQ:NWS), Viacom (NYSE:VIA) and CBS (NYSE:CBS).

Time Warner has mentioned that it will not clog the app with its own content, but we wouldn’t be surprised to see some preferential treatment. And with the amount of content skyrocketing, it will become essential to separate and prioritize what matters and then make then personalize this.

Our price estimate for Time Warner stands at $38.90, implying a premium of roughly 25% to the market price.

See our complete analysis for Time Warner’s stock.

Time Warner’s Publishing Ad Sales Slow, But CEO Remains Positive

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Friday, August 26th, 2011 by

Time Warner’s (NYSE:TWX) CEO recently expressed his optimism regarding the magazine business despite the fact that ad sales growth has slowed due to recent economic concerns.  Time Warner is a diversified media company that competes with other media conglomerates like Disney (NYSE:DIS), Viacom (NYSE:VIA) and News Corp (NASDAQ:NWS).

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Filmed Entertainment Trends for Time Warner, Disney, News Corp and Comcast

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Tuesday, July 26th, 2011 by

Time Warner (NYSE:TWX), News Corp (NASDAQ:NWS) and Disney (NYSE:DIS) have one thing in common besides TV media, and that is filmed entertainment which includes the production and distribution of movies. Comcast (NASDAQ:CMCSA) with its acquisition of NBCUniversal has now joined this group. We estimate that the filmed entertainment business constitutes about 35% to Time Warner’s stock and about 20% each to News Corp and Disney’s stocks as per our estimates. Below we take a quick look at certain trends that will help filmed entertainment industry to continue to thrive despite some consumer preference shifts.

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Time Warner Bolsters HBO’s Value with HBO Go App

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Tuesday, May 17th, 2011 by

HBO recently released its HBO Go app for mobile devices and reportedly had 1 million downloads in the first week of its launch. The app works both for Apple’s (NASDAQ:AAPL) devices as well as Android-based gadgets. This is yet another move by Time Warner (NYSE:TWX) aimed at preserving HBO’s value. Below we take a quick look at HBO’s value and how the app launch could affect the company’s outlook. Time Warner competes with other media companies like Disney (NYSE:DIS), News Corp (NASDAQ:NWS), CBS (NYSE:CBS) and Viacom (NYSE:VIA).

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Will Netflix Enter the UK?

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Wednesday, May 4th, 2011 by

Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) is enjoying rapid expansion riding on the popularity of DVD-by-mail and online streaming. In March, we wrote Are Netflix’s International Ambitions Justified & Achievable? where we looked at whether market saturation was a significant risk for Netflix and if international expansion could help provide an additional source of subscriber growth. Netflix has signaled that it plans to expand abroad, and we believe that the UK could be high on the list of new markets in addition to Latin America.

We recently upgraded our price estimate to $153 as a result of continued subscriber growth momentum reported in Q1 2011; however, our estimate still stands around 30% below the market price. Netflix competes with Apple’s (NASDAQ:AAPL) iTunes and Hulu as well as video on demand (VoD) services from pay-TV providers like Comcast (NASDAQ:CMCSA), Time Warner Cable (NYSE:TWC) and others.

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