The number of new job postings on Monster (NYSE:MWW) sites in North America has fallen steeply over the past few years owing to the hiring slump and the challenging recruiting marketplace in the US. We expect the declining trend to continue as a result of the growing reach of social media networks like Facebook, Twitter and LinkedIn. However, if the number of new job postings were to pick up rapidly, contrary to our expectations, there could be a significant upside to Monster’s stock.
An expected increase in new job postings on Monster’s international sites could boost Monster’s stock further. We currently have a Trefis price estimate of $12 for Monster’s stock, about 10% above the current market price of $11. We estimate that Career Services International and Career Services North America constitute around 41% and 34% of Monster’s stock price, respectively.
Below we highlight the historical and future trends for new job postings on Monster sites globally .