As auto makers start to announce positive strong growth from China, the country announced the end of its seven-year policy to attract foreign investments in order to promote a “healthy” level of competition and to protect local manufacturers. Since it is in China’s interest to acquire the latest fuel-efficiency technologies, it has exempted foreign investment in fuel-efficient technologies from this new policy. These new rules, which will go into effect from the end of this month, impact auto-manufacturers such as GM (NYSE:GM), Ford (NYSE:F), Honda (NYSE:HMC), Toyota (NYSE:TM) and Daimler (NYSE:DAI) all of whom have major expansion plans in the country. We don’t expect any meaningful impact in the near term production, though it could slow the expansion of production facilities for these auto makers.
We currently have a Trefis price estimate of $26 for General Motors, the largest auto-maker in China with plans to boost production capacity by 25 percent to 40 percent over the next two years in the country. Our price estimate for GM is more than 30% above the current market price.