Despite Price Hikes Starbucks Looks Expensive

+13.41%
Upside
88.75
Market
101
Trefis
SBUX: Starbucks logo
SBUX
Starbucks

Starbucks Coffee Shop
Source: Wikimedia

Starbucks (NASDAQ:SBUX) has increased the price of packaged coffee to combat the steep increase in Arabica coffee prices. It announced a 17% hike in the price of its packaged coffee. Its competitors in the broader market for specialty coffee include McDonald’s (NYSE:MCD), Caribou Coffee (NASDAQ:CBOU) and Peet’s Coffee (NASDAQ:PEET). Our price estimate for Starbucks stands at $30.30, which is in line with the market price.

Why Coffee Prices are Rising?

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In May 2011, Arabica coffee futures hit their highest price in 14 years on concerns that upcoming harvests would not be enough to supply the world’s growing consumption of the beverage. According to some analysts, a rush from coffee roasters such as Starbucks to hedge as much of their price exposure led to the increase in price of coffee futures. Many believe that Starbucks has typically hedged two to three months ahead of its needs due to the prospects of higher coffee prices in the near term. Increases in farming costs coupled with storms in Columbia also led to the substantial price increases.

17% Price Hike on Packaged Coffee

Starbucks sells packaged coffee and tea globally through arrangements with grocery and warehouse club stores, such as Costco. Currently, its packaged coffee and tea are available in close to 37,000 such stores worldwide.

The increased prices are likely to affect the company revenues. However, the customers who are habituated to Starbucks coffee might still splurge on the highly priced coffee products. Still we believe, the passing on of higher prices to customers will affect Starbucks’ top line. Other coffee retailers like Smuckers, Sara Lee and Peet’s Coffee have also raised prices on coffee products.

See our full analysis for Starbucks stock here